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double is kill my points
Replies: 11   Pages: 1   Most recent reply posted by: OPERATOR (Aug 19, 2016 12:51 PM)
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Replies: 11   Pages: 1  
rollirolf2

Posts: 38
Registered: Jun, 2015

double is kill my points Posted: Jun 17, 2016 9:32 PM
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server is no korrekt
i get all matches never same gegner 6666 4444 5555v 22233333


rollirolf2

Posts: 38
Registered: Jun, 2015

Re: double is kill my points Posted: Jul 13, 2016 8:02 PM
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server again take 66 55 44 22 double not to me

MikeSteven

Posts: 26
Registered: Feb, 2016

Re: double is kill my points Posted: Jul 26, 2016 7:36 PM
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just had exactly the same sequence against me

one - maybe random

twice - very unlikely

three times - cannot be explained by random


MikeSteven

Posts: 26
Registered: Feb, 2016

Re: double is kill my points Posted: Jul 27, 2016 3:53 PM
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And again - this time all during the final take off to hand the opponent the game on a plate

MikeSteven

Posts: 26
Registered: Feb, 2016

Re: double is kill my points Posted: Aug 8, 2016 1:01 PM
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And again - same sequence

MikeSteven

Posts: 26
Registered: Feb, 2016

Re: double is kill my points Posted: Aug 12, 2016 11:45 AM
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And again - four doubles in the take off alone

given that the probablity of a double in backgammon is slightly less than one in six

Although the occasional run of doubles is possible - albeit unlikely - I should be seeing a run of four doubles every thousand games or so.

MikeSteven

Posts: 26
Registered: Feb, 2016

Re: double is kill my points Posted: Aug 17, 2016 11:19 AM
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Another run of four successive doubles

Why does this occur as often as it does?


MikeSteven

Posts: 26
Registered: Feb, 2016

Re: double is kill my points Posted: Aug 19, 2016 11:21 AM
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and another run of four doubles

OPERATOR

Posts: 1,656
Registered: May, 2002

Re: double is kill my points Posted: Aug 19, 2016 11:31 AM
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"I should be seeing a run of four doubles every thousand games or so."

This assumption is simply wrong according to probability theories.

MikeSteven

Posts: 26
Registered: Feb, 2016

Re: double is kill my points Posted: Aug 19, 2016 12:25 PM
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Probability of four consecutive doubles :-

1/6 X 1/6 X 1/6 X 1/6 = 1 / 1296


Are you saying that this equates to four doubles being a frequent occurance?


OPERATOR

Posts: 1,656
Registered: May, 2002

Re: double is kill my points Posted: Aug 19, 2016 12:42 PM
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I am saying that one "turn" is not equivalent to one "game".

So you should see four doubles in a row more frequently than one in 1296 _games_.

OPERATOR

Posts: 1,656
Registered: May, 2002

Re: double is kill my points Posted: Aug 19, 2016 12:51 PM
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Depending on how many turns are there in the games, there should be one row of four doubles in around 40-50 games.

So you should see one in two days if you are playing 20 games a day, or one in 4-5 days if you are playing 10 games per day. Which is more or less acceptable for you based on your forum posts.

Any other probability questions that I could help with?


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