
Re: Fixed dice

Posted:
Jul 5, 2018 7:40 AM



Right you are: There is always a proability: And it is the nature of the game to calculate on that issue. More over there is a great difference in a probability like let´s say 20/36 and 11/36. Why these two probabilities? Because it is the probabitity difference between entering from the bar with 1 open space and 2 open spaces. If you experience yourself in a 20/36 probability situation you calculate with succes 55% of the time. If your rate in entering from the bar in that situation over time  maybe 100200 observations  5000 throwes maybe  is only 10% or 20%... either you calculated wrong... or something ELSE is wrong!!
I have made stats on 66 twice over 1000 throwes. OK: In the name of the law of big numbers it should be 5000. That´s why I have done it twice! The probability for 66 is: 1/36  which means it should occure 27,7777  let´s say 28 times in 1000 throwes. Both times the number was over 50!! And I`m so shure that if some of you made the same stats the same way it will have the same result....
And why is that? It is because 66 is the far most voluntile throw, you can observate: Either it is very good  or it is very bad! That means again that in games with 66  or several 66! there is a tendency towards more luck and less calculation. If you want your SITE to have many costumers, so that you can earn more money by selling more expencive commercials, you want the luckthing to be a important feature, because it makes weaker players  there is more weak players/there is less strong players  win more!!
Soooo ... Make some stats and we will talk fact´s instead of this ridiculous discussion!

